BEIJING, May 1 (Xinhua) -- The cycle of economic boom in China, the world's
fastest-growing major economy, would last until at least 2020, said an expert
with the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the top economic
planner.
The cycle, which started in 1978 when the reform and opening-up drive was
launched, saw the country's economy grow 9.88 percent annually during the past
30 years, said Chen Dongqi, vice president of the NDRC's Academy of
Macroeconomic Research.
"China's economy saw a marked slow down in the first quarter as the U.S.
credit crunch bit," Chen told a recent forum held in Nanning, capital of the
southern Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region.
The economic growth slowed to 10.6 percent in the first quarter from 11.7
percent a year earlier, because of slower export growth and the worst winter in
more than five decades.
Last year, the economy expanded 11.9 percent, the fifth year of double
digit growth.
"Industrial output in the Pearl and Yangtze river deltas, the nation's two
most important growth engines, rose at an marked slower pace," he stated.
"Many small- and medium-sized companies, particularly the exporters of
low-end products, are faced with huge growth difficulties."
The rapidly-rising yuan and raw materials and labor costs have also put the
squeeze on profits of local businesses.
Chen, however, acknowledged the economy still had much room for growth
despite the current negative factors.
"(We) don't need to worry about the long-term economic boom just because of
the short-term impact," he said. "The growth will be robust at least till 2020,
especially in regions such as the West and the Beibu Bay Economic Zone in
Guangxi.
"The economy is rather dependent on exports, but we still have huge room to
deepen and expand the opening-up," he noted. "The investment in the rapid
urbanization process will also be a strong driver behind the economic growth."
The expert added the rapidly growing tertiary sector and an increasingly
larger proportion of the new workforce would also make bigger contributions to
the economic boom.