The c
urrent
international situation continues to undergo profound and complex changes. Peace
and development remain the dominating themes of the times. Although the
international situation as a whole tends to be stable, factors of uncertainty,
instability and insecurity are on the increase.
The trends toward world multipolarization and economic
globalization are deepening amid twists and turns. New changes are occurring in
the balance of power among the major international players, with the process of
their realignment and the redistribution of their interests accelerated. New and
profound readjustments have taken place in the relations among the world's major
countries. While cooperating with and seeking support from each other, they are
checking on and competing with one another as well. With their overall strength
continuing to rise, the developing countries have become important players in
promoting a multipolar world and democratized international relations. The
United Nations is playing an irreplaceable role in international affairs.
Economic globalization and technological advancement have generated new
opportunities for development. As a result of accelerated global industrial
restructuring, and the continued development of regional economic cooperation,
world economy has witnessed new growth, with interdependence among nations
deepened and their common interests increased. However, a fair and rational new
international political and economic order is yet to be established. Tendencies
of hegemonism and unilateralism have gained new ground, as struggles for
strategic points, strategic resources and strategic dominance crop up from time
to time. The Iraqi War has exerted a far-reaching influence on the international
and regional security situations. The imbalance in world economic development
has worsened, with the North-South gap continuing to widen, and economic
security confronting new challenges.
The military factor plays a greater role in international
configuration and national security. Worldwide Revolution in Military Affairs
(RMA) is gaining momentum. The forms of war are undergoing changes from
mechanization to informationalization. Informationalization has become the key
factor in enhancing the warfighting capability of the armed forces.
Confrontation between systems has become the principal feature of confrontation
on the battlefield. Asymmetrical, non-contiguous and non-linear operations have
become important patterns of operations. The world's major countries are making
readjustments in their security and military strategies and stepping up
transformation of their armed forces by way of developing high-tech weaponry and
military equipment and putting forth new military doctrines. As a result, the
generation gap in military technology between informationalization on the one
hand and mechanization and semi-mechanization on the other is still widening,
and military imbalance worldwide has further increased. The role played by
military power in safeguarding national security is assuming greater
prominence.
Traditional and non-traditional security issues are
intertwined with the latter posing a growing threat. Some regional hot-spots
have cooled down. Security cooperation at the regional level has deepened. The
worldwide campaign against terrorism has made progress. International
cooperation in the fields of information security, energy security, finance
security and environment security has been enhanced. And international efforts
to crack down on transnational crimes, prevent epidemic diseases, and reduce the
impact of disasters have been intensified. However, world peace remains elusive.
Geopolitical, ethnic, religious and other conflicts interact with political and
economic contradictions, resulting in frequent outbreak of local wars and armed
conflicts. International terrorist forces remain rampant. It seems rather
difficult to eliminate completely the root causes of terrorism, making the fight
against terrorism a long and demanding task before the international community.
The Asia-Pacific region enjoys basic stability in its
security situation. As the world's most dynamic region economically, most
nations in the region have made development the centerpiece of their policy.
Major country relations continue to improve and grow. Peaceful consultation has
become the basic approach to the settlement of disputes. Security dialogue and
cooperation of various forms have become more animated. Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation (APEC) is playing an important role in promoting common development.
The institutionalization of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) has been
basically accomplished. The SCO is incessantly expanding and deepening its
cooperation in the political, security, economic, humanitarian and other fields.
The SCO is playing a greater role in promoting peace, stability and development
in the region. China has established a strategic partnership with the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) dedicated to peace and prosperity
in the region, and engaged in comprehensive cooperation that has seen rapid
expansion. Cooperation in East Asia, with the ASEAN and China, Japan and the ROK
as the main players, keeps expanding, leading to greater economic development
and political and security trust in the region. The ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF)
as the most important official channel for multilateral security dialogue in the
Asia-Pacific region, plays a positive role in promoting security cooperation in
the region. The nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula has been brought onto the
track of peaceful settlement through dialogue, and the process of the Six-Party
Talks has made progress in the discussion of substantive issues and the
institutionalization of the process. Tensions between India and Pakistan have
been eased, and the two countries have maintained the momentum of peaceful
dialogues.
Meanwhile, complicated security factors in the Asia-Pacific
region are on the increase. The United States is realigning and reinforcing its
military presence in this region by buttressing military alliances and
accelerating deployment of missile defense systems. Japan is stepping up its
constitutional overhaul, adjusting its military and security policies and
developing the missile defense system for future deployment. It has also
markedly increased military activities abroad. The foundation for the Six-Party
Talks is not solid enough as uncertain factors linger in the settlement of the
nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula. The threat posed by terrorism, separatism
and extremism is still grave. Such transnational crimes as smuggling, piracy,
drug trafficking and money laundering are rampant. Many countries are confronted
with the formidable task of eliminating poverty, achieving sustainable
development and enhancing security in the area of public health.
The situation in the relations between the two sides of
the Taiwan Straits is grim. The Taiwan authorities under Chen Shui-bian have
recklessly challenged the status quo that both sides of the Straits belong to
one and the same China, and markedly escalated the "Taiwan independence"
activities designed to split China. Incessantly trumpeting their separatist
claim of "one country on each side," they use referendum to engage in the
separatist activities aimed at "Taiwan independence," incite hostility among the
people on the island toward the mainland, and purchase large amounts of
offensive weapons and equipment. They have not given up their attempt at "Taiwan
independence" through the formulation of a so-called "new constitution for
Taiwan." They are still waiting for the opportune moment to engineer a major
"Taiwan independence" incident through the so-called "constitutional reform."
The separatist activities of the "Taiwan independence" forces have increasingly
become the biggest immediate threat to China's sovereignty and territorial
integrity as well as peace and stability on both sides of the Taiwan Straits and
the Asia-Pacific region as a whole. The United States has on many occasions
reaffirmed adherence to the one China policy, observance of the three joint
communiques and opposition to "Taiwan independence." However, it continues to
increase, quantitatively and qualitatively, its arms sales to Taiwan, sending a
wrong signal to the Taiwan authorities. The US action does not serve a stable
situation across the Taiwan Straits.
China's national security environment in this pluralistic,
diversified and interdependent world has on the whole improved, but new
challenges keep cropping up. The vicious rise of the "Taiwan independence"
forces, the technological gap resulting from RMA, the risks and challenges
caused by the development of the trends toward economic globalization, and the
prolonged existence of unipolarity vis-a-vis multipolarity -- all these will
have a major impact on China's security. Nevertheless, China is determined to
safeguard its national sovereignty and security, no matter how the international
situation may evolve, and what difficulties it may encounter, so as to join
hands with the people around the world in advancing the lofty cause of peace and
development for mankind.